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Combined effects of land-use and climate change: Agriculture

Agriculture and global change

The goal is to understand how a future multifunctional agriculture can be adapted to climate change and contribute to reducing climate impact.

This cluster address direct and indirect effects of global change on agricultural systems. The research focus on studies of trade offs and synergies between provisioning and regulating ecosystem services in agriculture. To do this we also develop methods and models to quantify and value ecosystem services to predict agricultural land use across regions and in the future. The modelling activities will evaluate consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem services of different management and policy options. The cluster also studies how mitigation and adaptation activities in agriculture will feed back to the socio-economic and governance systems. This is done through active interactions with stakeholders in order to develop ways to demonstrate how agriculture support ecosystem services and provide a common channel for the dissemination of research findings to relevant stakeholders and society at large.

These are the major research areas within Agriculture and global change:

Modelling the effects of climate change on agriculture

Climate change is expected to affect Swedish agriculture in multiple ways, from greater volatility in prices to changes in growing conditions and greater frequency of adverse weather events. We investigate how climate change will affect the potential for crop growth in Sweden in the future, and the role of land use for biogeochemical cycling and emission of green house and trace gases using LPJ-GUESS. By using Agent Based Modelling (ABM) we develop ecological-economic models for evaluating the implications of climate change for agriculture and agri-environmental policy.
Read more about Modelling the effects of climate change on agriculture

Land Use change and Greenhouse gas emissions

A small area of the earth is used for agriculture, arable and grazing. This land is a major source for food and for the future with growing population yields need to increase or more land needs to be converted into agricultural land. But land used for food production inevitably emits greenhouse gases, one of this century largest challenges; synchronously mitigation of agricultural emissions and satisfying food availability. By several researchers working together, we can study many different aspects of greenhouse gas emissions.
Read more about the research here

Contact Åsa Kasimir, University of Gothenburg

Valuing ecosystem services in agriculture

The overall vision of the project is interact with decision makers at local, regional and national levels to produce “decision support tools” that will explicitly show the value of ecosystem services in developing more sustainable agriculture and achieving Sweden’s environmental objectives.
Read more about the research project VESA here

Collaborating projects

This cluster has a number of large externally funded projects that deals with agriculture and which cross over into several of the other BECC clusters that have greatly promoted the collaboration between researchers in BECC as well as students and post docs within BECCs research networks.


Cluster coordinator
Katarina Hedlund

Phone: +46 (0)46 222 37 98
Email: katarina [dot] hedlund [at] biol [dot] lu [dot] se

Deputy cluster coordinator
Henrik Smith

Phone: +46 (0)70 978 20 56
Email: Henrik [dot] Smith [at] biol [dot] lu [dot] se